NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 09, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ellenberger | 18 | 22 | 69.2% | 1 | 33.7 | 1 |
| 2 | Steve Creaser | 17 | 23 | 68.0% | 2 | 32.9 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 15 | 24 | 62.5% | 3 | 28.1 | 4 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 15 | 21 | 55.6% | 5 | 28.2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nick Boucher | 14 | 23 | 56.0% | 4 | 26.8 | 5 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 14 | 22 | 53.8% | 6 | 26.3 | 7 |
| 7 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 23 | 52.0% | 7 | 26.7 | 6 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 12 | 22 | 46.2% | 8 | 24.7 | 8 |
| 9 | Karl Loiseau | 9 | 22 | 34.6% | 9 | 20.1 | 9 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 8 | 23 | 32.0% | 10 | 19.1 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 13.6 | CAR | 0.81 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 12.4 | NO | 0.61 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 7.7 | @LAC | 0.41 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 11.6 | ATL | 0.8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 12.7 | @WAS | 0.8 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 8.6 | BYE | |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 11.0 | @MIA | 0.75 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 9.7 | @TEN | 0.39 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 7.4 | @DAL | 0.2 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 9.4 | @NE | 0.45 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 9.5 | PHI | 0.59 |
| New England Patriots | 5 | 9.3 | CLE | 0.55 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 11.8 | @SF | 0.64 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 6.8 | @ARI | 0.19 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 7.7 | RAM | 0.36 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 11.8 | SEA | 0.61 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 10.2 | MIN | 0.59 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 4.8 | BUF | 0.13 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 11.5 | @NYJ | 0.87 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 9.0 | KC | 0.41 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 6.2 | BYE | |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9.2 | DET | 0.79 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 8.3 | JAX | 0.82 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 7.2 | @DEN | 0.41 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 9.4 | @LVR | 0.59 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 5.0 | @IND | 0.18 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5.7 | BAL | 0.25 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.9 | BYE | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 8.1 | @GB | 0.39 |
| Washington | 2 | 5.1 | TB | 0.2 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 1 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| New England Patriots | 5 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 11 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 16 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| Washington | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Draft Results
